Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense
C44 1. e4 e5 2. Nf3 Nc6 3. Bc4 Nf6 4. d4 exd4
White scores 53.5% here across 988 club games — but the 12.9% who answer Nxd4 score 47.6%, 6 points worse.
What White actually plays here
Across 988 games from a Lichess-derived book of club play, White scores 53.5% in this position. These are the replies people choose, and how each one works out.
| Reply | Games | Share | White scores | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| e5 | 468 | 47.4% | 53.8% | holds up |
| O-O | 245 | 24.8% | 54.5% | holds up |
| Nxd4 | 127 | 12.9% | 47.6% | below the line |
| Ng5 | 78 | 7.9% | 59.0% | holds up |
| c3 | 48 | 4.9% | 57.3% | holds up |
"Below the line" means the reply scores at least three points worse than the position does overall. Replies played fewer than 25 times are left out: the sample is too small to read.
Is this costing you anything?
A table of averages cannot tell you whether you go wrong here — only your own games can. Opening Leak Lab reads your Chess.com or Lichess archive, finds the decisions you repeat, and checks each one against this book and a bundled Stockfish.