Opening Leak Lab

Ponziani Opening: Jaenisch Counterattack

C44 1. e4 e5 2. Nf3 Nc6 3. c3 Nf6 4. d3 d5 5. Nbd2

White scores 51.2% here across 939 club games — but the 23.4% who answer d3 score 46.8%, 4 points worse.

What White actually plays here

Across 939 games from a Lichess-derived book of club play, White scores 51.2% in this position. These are the replies people choose, and how each one works out.

ReplyGamesShare White scoresVerdict
d4 514 54.7% 54.3% holds up
d3 220 23.4% 46.8% below the line
Bd3 60 6.4% 50.8% holds up
Bc4 52 5.5% 48.1% below the line
Qc2 32 3.4% 37.5% below the line
Bb5 26 2.8% 53.8% holds up

"Below the line" means the reply scores at least three points worse than the position does overall. Replies played fewer than 25 times are left out: the sample is too small to read.

Is this costing you anything?

A table of averages cannot tell you whether you go wrong here — only your own games can. Opening Leak Lab reads your Chess.com or Lichess archive, finds the decisions you repeat, and checks each one against this book and a bundled Stockfish.

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