Opening Leak Lab

Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit

C50 1. e4 e5 2. Nf3 Nc6 3. Bc4 Nd4

White scores 51.8% here across 425 club games — but the 24.9% who answer Nxe5 score 26.4%, 25 points worse.

What White actually plays here

Across 425 games from a Lichess-derived book of club play, White scores 51.8% in this position. These are the replies people choose, and how each one works out.

ReplyGamesShare White scoresVerdict
Nxd4 129 30.4% 59.3% holds up
Nxe5 106 24.9% 26.4% below the line
c3 61 14.4% 65.6% holds up
O-O 54 12.7% 56.5% holds up
d3 50 11.8% 62.0% holds up

"Below the line" means the reply scores at least three points worse than the position does overall. Replies played fewer than 25 times are left out: the sample is too small to read.

Is this costing you anything?

A table of averages cannot tell you whether you go wrong here — only your own games can. Opening Leak Lab reads your Chess.com or Lichess archive, finds the decisions you repeat, and checks each one against this book and a bundled Stockfish.

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