Opening Leak Lab

Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian

B30 1. e4 c5 2. Nf3 Nc6

White scores 49.8% here across 4,452 club games — but the 15.9% who answer Bc4 score 46.7%, 3 points worse.

What White actually plays here

Across 4,452 games from a Lichess-derived book of club play, White scores 49.8% in this position. These are the replies people choose, and how each one works out.

ReplyGamesShare White scoresVerdict
d4 2,022 45.4% 50.9% holds up
Bc4 708 15.9% 46.7% below the line
Bb5 680 15.3% 51.8% holds up
Nc3 377 8.5% 43.8% below the line
c3 332 7.5% 52.6% holds up
c4 95 2.1% 56.3% holds up
d3 53 1.2% 45.3% below the line
b3 51 1.1% 48.0% holds up
g3 46 1.0% 50.0% holds up
Be2 30 0.7% 46.7% below the line

"Below the line" means the reply scores at least three points worse than the position does overall. Replies played fewer than 25 times are left out: the sample is too small to read.

Is this costing you anything?

A table of averages cannot tell you whether you go wrong here — only your own games can. Opening Leak Lab reads your Chess.com or Lichess archive, finds the decisions you repeat, and checks each one against this book and a bundled Stockfish.

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