Opening Leak Lab

Sicilian Defense: Modern Variations

B50 1. e4 c5 2. Nf3 d6

White scores 49.8% here across 3,018 club games — but the 7.1% who answer Nc3 score 45.1%, 5 points worse.

What White actually plays here

Across 3,018 games from a Lichess-derived book of club play, White scores 49.8% in this position. These are the replies people choose, and how each one works out.

ReplyGamesShare White scoresVerdict
d4 1,474 48.8% 51.2% holds up
Bc4 551 18.3% 47.2% holds up
Bb5+ 288 9.5% 50.3% holds up
Nc3 214 7.1% 45.1% below the line
c3 179 5.9% 54.5% holds up
h3 91 3.0% 50.5% holds up
c4 87 2.9% 55.2% holds up
d3 40 1.3% 43.8% below the line
Be2 31 1.0% 41.9% below the line

"Below the line" means the reply scores at least three points worse than the position does overall. Replies played fewer than 25 times are left out: the sample is too small to read.

Is this costing you anything?

A table of averages cannot tell you whether you go wrong here — only your own games can. Opening Leak Lab reads your Chess.com or Lichess archive, finds the decisions you repeat, and checks each one against this book and a bundled Stockfish.

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