Opening Leak Lab

Sicilian Defense

B20 1. e4 c5

White scores 47.1% here across 18,812 club games — but the 16.8% who answer Bc4 score 41.9%, 5 points worse.

What White actually plays here

Across 18,812 games from a Lichess-derived book of club play, White scores 47.1% in this position. These are the replies people choose, and how each one works out.

ReplyGamesShare White scoresVerdict
Nf3 9,311 49.5% 50.3% holds up
Bc4 3,167 16.8% 41.9% below the line
d4 1,292 6.9% 43.2% below the line
Nc3 988 5.3% 50.2% holds up
f4 969 5.2% 48.1% holds up
c4 839 4.5% 45.6% holds up
c3 509 2.7% 44.5% holds up
d3 478 2.5% 43.1% below the line
b4 252 1.3% 47.0% holds up
Qh5 250 1.3% 36.6% below the line
g3 162 0.9% 44.4% holds up
b3 151 0.8% 44.0% below the line

"Below the line" means the reply scores at least three points worse than the position does overall. Replies played fewer than 25 times are left out: the sample is too small to read.

Is this costing you anything?

A table of averages cannot tell you whether you go wrong here — only your own games can. Opening Leak Lab reads your Chess.com or Lichess archive, finds the decisions you repeat, and checks each one against this book and a bundled Stockfish.

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