Opening Leak Lab

Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation

B01 1. e4 d5 2. exd5 Qxd5 3. Nc3 Qd8

White scores 60.7% here across 840 club games — but the 3.9% who answer d3 score 51.5%, 9 points worse.

What White actually plays here

Across 840 games from a Lichess-derived book of club play, White scores 60.7% in this position. These are the replies people choose, and how each one works out.

ReplyGamesShare White scoresVerdict
Nf3 361 43.0% 59.1% holds up
d4 263 31.3% 63.9% holds up
Bc4 111 13.2% 63.5% holds up
d3 33 3.9% 51.5% below the line
h3 25 3.0% 44.0% below the line

"Below the line" means the reply scores at least three points worse than the position does overall. Replies played fewer than 25 times are left out: the sample is too small to read.

Is this costing you anything?

A table of averages cannot tell you whether you go wrong here — only your own games can. Opening Leak Lab reads your Chess.com or Lichess archive, finds the decisions you repeat, and checks each one against this book and a bundled Stockfish.

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