Opening Leak Lab

Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System

D05 1. d4 Nf6 2. Nf3 e6 3. e3 b6 4. Bd3 Bb7 5. O-O c5 6. b3 Be7 7. Bb2 O-O 8. Nbd2 d5

White scores 56.4% here across 631 club games — but the 11.9% who answer Be2 score 51.3%, 5 points worse.

What White actually plays here

Across 631 games from a Lichess-derived book of club play, White scores 56.4% in this position. These are the replies people choose, and how each one works out.

ReplyGamesShare White scoresVerdict
Bd3 242 38.4% 58.1% holds up
c4 197 31.2% 59.9% holds up
Be2 75 11.9% 51.3% below the line
Ne5 32 5.1% 51.6% below the line
Nc3 26 4.1% 73.1% holds up

"Below the line" means the reply scores at least three points worse than the position does overall. Replies played fewer than 25 times are left out: the sample is too small to read.

Is this costing you anything?

A table of averages cannot tell you whether you go wrong here — only your own games can. Opening Leak Lab reads your Chess.com or Lichess archive, finds the decisions you repeat, and checks each one against this book and a bundled Stockfish.

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