Opening Leak Lab

Queen's Gambit

D06 1. d4 d5 2. c4

Black scores 41.7% here across 8,755 club games — but the 26.6% who answer dxc4 score 38.0%, 4 points worse.

What Black actually plays here

Across 8,755 games from a Lichess-derived book of club play, Black scores 41.7% in this position. These are the replies people choose, and how each one works out.

ReplyGamesShare Black scoresVerdict
e6 2,337 26.7% 46.0% holds up
dxc4 2,333 26.6% 38.0% below the line
c6 1,779 20.3% 43.8% holds up
Nf6 1,161 13.3% 39.0% holds up
Nc6 299 3.4% 40.8% holds up
c5 286 3.3% 39.9% holds up
Bf5 216 2.5% 37.3% below the line
e5 194 2.2% 47.4% holds up
Be6 48 0.5% 34.4% below the line
b6 29 0.3% 27.6% below the line

"Below the line" means the reply scores at least three points worse than the position does overall. Replies played fewer than 25 times are left out: the sample is too small to read.

Is this costing you anything?

A table of averages cannot tell you whether you go wrong here — only your own games can. Opening Leak Lab reads your Chess.com or Lichess archive, finds the decisions you repeat, and checks each one against this book and a bundled Stockfish.

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