Opening Leak Lab

Philidor Defense: Exchange Variation

C41 1. e4 e5 2. Nf3 d6 3. d4 exd4 4. Nxd4 Nf6

White scores 56.5% here across 1,313 club games — but the 14.4% who answer Qxd4 score 52.1%, 4 points worse.

What White actually plays here

Across 1,313 games from a Lichess-derived book of club play, White scores 56.5% in this position. These are the replies people choose, and how each one works out.

ReplyGamesShare White scoresVerdict
Nxd4 1,010 76.9% 56.2% holds up
Qxd4 189 14.4% 52.1% below the line
Bc4 97 7.4% 63.9% holds up

"Below the line" means the reply scores at least three points worse than the position does overall. Replies played fewer than 25 times are left out: the sample is too small to read.

Is this costing you anything?

A table of averages cannot tell you whether you go wrong here — only your own games can. Opening Leak Lab reads your Chess.com or Lichess archive, finds the decisions you repeat, and checks each one against this book and a bundled Stockfish.

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