Opening Leak Lab

Modern Defense: Two Knights Variation

B06 1. e4 g6 2. d4 Bg7 3. Nc3 d6 4. Nf3

Black scores 48.5% here across 724 club games — but the 9.1% who answer Nd7 score 43.2%, 5 points worse.

What Black actually plays here

Across 724 games from a Lichess-derived book of club play, Black scores 48.5% in this position. These are the replies people choose, and how each one works out.

ReplyGamesShare Black scoresVerdict
Nf6 306 42.3% 51.1% holds up
Bg4 89 12.3% 53.9% holds up
Nc6 74 10.2% 52.7% holds up
Nd7 66 9.1% 43.2% below the line
a6 56 7.7% 45.5% below the line
c6 45 6.2% 56.7% holds up
e6 37 5.1% 33.8% below the line

"Below the line" means the reply scores at least three points worse than the position does overall. Replies played fewer than 25 times are left out: the sample is too small to read.

Is this costing you anything?

A table of averages cannot tell you whether you go wrong here — only your own games can. Opening Leak Lab reads your Chess.com or Lichess archive, finds the decisions you repeat, and checks each one against this book and a bundled Stockfish.

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