Opening Leak Lab

Italian Game: Classical Variation

C54 1. e4 e5 2. Nf3 Nc6 3. Bc4 Bc5 4. c3 Nf6

White scores 53.9% here across 1,279 club games — but the 3.5% who answer b4 score 46.7%, 7 points worse.

What White actually plays here

Across 1,279 games from a Lichess-derived book of club play, White scores 53.9% in this position. These are the replies people choose, and how each one works out.

ReplyGamesShare White scoresVerdict
d4 681 53.2% 55.2% holds up
d3 379 29.6% 54.4% holds up
O-O 108 8.4% 56.5% holds up
b4 45 3.5% 46.7% below the line
Ng5 37 2.9% 31.1% below the line

"Below the line" means the reply scores at least three points worse than the position does overall. Replies played fewer than 25 times are left out: the sample is too small to read.

Is this costing you anything?

A table of averages cannot tell you whether you go wrong here — only your own games can. Opening Leak Lab reads your Chess.com or Lichess archive, finds the decisions you repeat, and checks each one against this book and a bundled Stockfish.

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