French Defense: Winawer Variation
C15 1. e4 e6 2. d4 d5 3. Nc3 Bb4
White scores 49.8% here across 497 club games — but the 17.1% who answer exd5 score 44.7%, 5 points worse.
What White actually plays here
Across 497 games from a Lichess-derived book of club play, White scores 49.8% in this position. These are the replies people choose, and how each one works out.
| Reply | Games | Share | White scores | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| e5 | 227 | 45.7% | 51.8% | holds up |
| exd5 | 85 | 17.1% | 44.7% | below the line |
| Bd3 | 61 | 12.3% | 39.3% | below the line |
| Bd2 | 35 | 7.0% | 48.6% | holds up |
| Ne2 | 32 | 6.4% | 56.2% | holds up |
| a3 | 28 | 5.6% | 53.6% | holds up |
"Below the line" means the reply scores at least three points worse than the position does overall. Replies played fewer than 25 times are left out: the sample is too small to read.
Is this costing you anything?
A table of averages cannot tell you whether you go wrong here — only your own games can. Opening Leak Lab reads your Chess.com or Lichess archive, finds the decisions you repeat, and checks each one against this book and a bundled Stockfish.