Opening Leak Lab

Elephant Gambit

C40 1. e4 e5 2. Nf3 d5

White scores 51.2% here across 1,932 club games — but the 6.0% who answer d3 score 46.5%, 5 points worse.

What White actually plays here

Across 1,932 games from a Lichess-derived book of club play, White scores 51.2% in this position. These are the replies people choose, and how each one works out.

ReplyGamesShare White scoresVerdict
exd5 1,031 53.4% 51.1% holds up
Nxe5 406 21.0% 48.9% holds up
Nc3 142 7.3% 53.5% holds up
d4 137 7.1% 60.9% holds up
d3 115 6.0% 46.5% below the line
Bc4 38 2.0% 36.8% below the line
Bd3 26 1.3% 61.5% holds up

"Below the line" means the reply scores at least three points worse than the position does overall. Replies played fewer than 25 times are left out: the sample is too small to read.

Is this costing you anything?

A table of averages cannot tell you whether you go wrong here — only your own games can. Opening Leak Lab reads your Chess.com or Lichess archive, finds the decisions you repeat, and checks each one against this book and a bundled Stockfish.

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